Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.15
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 42.7%, draw 26.4%, Tona 30.9%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingPeralada
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
49MixedTona
Peralada · low scoring
Peralada
8W · 9D · 5LRecent →WLDWDWDDWWLDLWLWDLWDDD
Momentum index
Tona
10W · 5D · 7LRecent →LLWLDDWWWLLWWWDWDLDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTona +2
Peralada
33 pts36% wins
8W · 9D · 5L · 22 played
For22
Against22
Tona
35 pts45% wins
10W · 5D · 7L · 22 played
For34
Against34
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada's attack (45%) vs Tona's defense (24%).
+21 - Tona offensive edge
Tona runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Peraladalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Peralada40%
2Draws
1Tona20%