Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.14
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 41.6%, draw 26.9%, Tona 31.6%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
64BuildingPeralada
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
60BuildingTona
Peralada
4W · 2D · 2LRecent →WWLDWDWL
Momentum index
Tona
4W · 2D · 2LRecent →WWLDLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Peralada
14 pts50% wins
4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played
For10
Against9
Tona
14 pts50% wins
4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played
For10
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada's attack (54%) vs Tona's defense (46%).
+8 - Tona offensive edge
Tona runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Peralada50%
2Draws
1Tona17%