Goal expectancy
1.13Expected goals0.94
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Peralada 2-1 Vilassar Mar Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 39.9%, draw 30%, Vilassar Mar 30.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedPeralada
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
51MixedVilassar Mar
Peralada · Structured / conservativeVilassar Mar · Structured / conservative
Peralada
3W · 3D · 3LRecent →DWLWDDWLL
Momentum index
Vilassar Mar
4W · 3D · 2LRecent →DLWWLDWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVilassar Mar +3
Peralada
12 pts33% wins
3W · 3D · 3L · 9 played
For9
Against7
Vilassar Mar
15 pts44% wins
4W · 3D · 2L · 9 played
For8
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada's attack (56%) vs Vilassar Mar's defense (33%).
+23 - Vilassar Mar offensive edge
Vilassar Mar runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PeraladaStructured / conservative
Vilassar MarStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Peralada25%
2Draws
1Vilassar Mar25%