Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals1.19
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Peralada 2-2 Vilassar Mar Prediction
Balanced — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Peralada 46.4%, draw 24.9%, Vilassar Mar 28.7%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
65BuildingPeralada
Weighted momentum
Peralada carries the sharper recent run (+31 momentum).
34Cold spellVilassar Mar
Vilassar Mar · High-risk / fragile
Peralada
2W · 1D · 1LRecent →WDWL
Momentum index
Vilassar Mar
1W · 0D · 3LRecent →WLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPeralada +4
Peralada
7 pts50% wins
2W · 1D · 1L · 4 played
For5
Against4
Vilassar Mar
3 pts25% wins
1W · 0D · 3L · 4 played
For6
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peralada offensive edge
Peralada's attack (45%) vs Vilassar Mar's defense (36%).
+9 - Vilassar Mar offensive edge
Vilassar Mar runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Vilassar MarHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Peralada50%
2Draws
2Vilassar Mar25%