Goal expectancy
1.75Expected goals1.16
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Perth Glory 2-1 Newcastle Jets Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Perth Glory
Estimated win chances: Perth Glory 51.2%, draw 23.6%, Newcastle Jets 25.2%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedPerth Glory
Weighted momentum
Perth Glory carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).
19Cold spellNewcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets · High-risk / fragile
Perth Glory
1W · 0D · 2LRecent →WLL
Momentum index
Newcastle Jets
0W · 2D · 1LRecent →LDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPerth Glory +1
Perth Glory
3 pts33% wins
1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played
For6
Against4
Newcastle Jets
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 1L · 3 played
For3
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Perth Glory offensive edge
Perth Glory's attack (67%) vs Newcastle Jets's defense (40%).
+27 - Newcastle Jets offensive edge
Newcastle Jets runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Newcastle JetsHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Perth Glory10%
5Draws
4Newcastle Jets40%