Goal expectancy
1.84Expected goals1.60
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Perth RedStar 1-3 Perth Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Perth Redstar
Estimated win chances: Perth Redstar 43.8%, draw 22.3%, Perth 33.9%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingPerth Redstar
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
59BuildingPerth
Perth · leaky defense
Perth Redstar
12W · 5D · 5LRecent →WLLDLWWLWWDDWWWWWLWWDD
Momentum index
Perth
10W · 8D · 4LRecent →WWDLDDWDWDWDWDLWWLWWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPerth Redstar +3
Perth Redstar
41 pts55% wins
12W · 5D · 5L · 22 played
For35
Against29
Perth
38 pts45% wins
10W · 8D · 4L · 22 played
For53
Against41
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Perth Redstar offensive edge
Perth Redstar faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Perth offensive edge
Perth's attack (68%) vs Perth Redstar's defense (53%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Perthleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Perth Redstar30%
2Draws
5Perth50%