Goal expectancy
1.84Expected goals1.48
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Perth 5-2 Perth RedStar Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Perth
Estimated win chances: Perth 46.2%, draw 22.6%, Perth Redstar 31.2%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
51MixedPerth
Weighted momentum
Perth Redstar arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
59BuildingPerth Redstar
Perth · leaky defense
Perth
8W · 8D · 4LRecent →DLDDWDWDWDWDLWWLWWDL
Momentum index
Perth Redstar
11W · 5D · 4LRecent →LDLWWLWWDDWWWWWLWWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPerth Redstar +6
Perth
32 pts40% wins
8W · 8D · 4L · 20 played
For45
Against38
Perth Redstar
38 pts55% wins
11W · 5D · 4L · 20 played
For29
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Perth offensive edge
Perth's attack (79%) vs Perth Redstar's defense (67%).
+12 - Perth Redstar offensive edge
Perth Redstar runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Perthleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Perth30%
2Draws
5Perth Redstar50%