Péruwelz 1-0 Houdinois Prediction

PéruwelzPéruwelz
1 — 0FT
HoudinoisHoudinois

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Péruwelz

Estimated win chances: Péruwelz 55%, draw 23.7%, Houdinois 21.3%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.73Expected goals0.98

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–011.9%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–110.1%
  • 0–06.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

72Hot streakPéruwelz
Weighted momentum

Péruwelz carries the sharper recent run (+48 momentum).

24Cold spellHoudinois
Péruwelz · compact defense · hot formHoudinois · High-risk / fragile

Péruwelz

3W · 1D · 1L
Recent →WDWWL
Momentum index

Houdinois

1W · 1D · 3L
Recent →LLWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapPéruwelz +6

Péruwelz

10 pts
60% wins

3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played

For
9
Against
2
Goal diff +7

Houdinois

4 pts
20% wins

1W · 1D · 3L · 5 played

For
6
Against
9
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Péruwelz offensive edge

    Péruwelz's attack (60%) vs Houdinois's defense (18%).

    +42
  • Houdinois offensive edge

    Houdinois runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -42

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Péruwelz60
Houdinois40

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Péruwelz82
Houdinois18

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Péruwelz72
Houdinois24

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Péruwelz134
Houdinois-34

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Péruwelz30
Houdinois37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Péruwelz71
Houdinois29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Péruwelz0
Houdinois0
Péruwelzcompact defense · hot form
HoudinoisHigh-risk / fragile