Peterborough 1-1 Middlesbrough Prediction

Peterborough

1 — 1FT26 Nov 2011, 15:00 UTC

Middlesbrough

Overview Lineups Statistics Standings Events Players PredictionsForm Injuries H2H

Updated 10 Jun 2026, 11:38 UTC

PeterboroughvsMiddlesbrough

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Peterborough

Estimated win chances: Peterborough 40.2%, draw 24.9%, Middlesbrough 34.8%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.

TempoHigh

VolatilityLow

Expected goalsMedium

Tactical styleOpen / transitional

Upset potentialHigh

Draw riskMedium

Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.37

From 17 and 17 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

1–112.1%
2–19%
1–08.8%
1–28.3%
0–18.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

44MixedPeterborough

Weighted momentum

Middlesbrough arrives with stronger form weighting (+13 momentum).

57BuildingMiddlesbrough

Peterborough · leaky defenseMiddlesbrough · compact defense

Peterborough

7W · 2D · 8L

Recent →DWLLLWWLWLWLLWDLW

Momentum index

Middlesbrough

8W · 7D · 2L

Recent →DWWLWLDDDDWWDWWWD

Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMiddlesbrough +8

Peterborough

23 pts

41% wins

7W · 2D · 8L · 17 played

For

Against

Goal diff +3

Middlesbrough

31 pts

47% wins

8W · 7D · 2L · 17 played

For

Against

Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

Peterborough offensive edge
Peterborough faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12
Middlesbrough offensive edge
Middlesbrough's attack (47%) vs Peterborough's defense (35%).
+12

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Peterborough53

Middlesbrough47

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Peterborough35

Middlesbrough65

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Peterborough44

Middlesbrough57

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Peterborough26

Middlesbrough74

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Peterborough37

Middlesbrough30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Peterborough29

Middlesbrough71

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Peterborough0

Middlesbrough100

Peterboroughleaky defense

Middlesbroughcompact defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Peterborough0%

0Draws

1Middlesbrough100%

Recent meetings

24 Aug 2011, 18:45 UTC