Goal expectancy
1.84Expected goals1.28
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Peterborough 3-0 Northampton Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Peterborough
Estimated win chances: Peterborough 50.6%, draw 22.8%, Northampton 26.6%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
100Hot streakPeterborough
Weighted momentum
Peterborough carries the sharper recent run (+42 momentum).
58BuildingNorthampton
Peterborough · compact defense · hot formNorthampton · leaky defense
Peterborough
3W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWW
Momentum index
Northampton
2W · 0D · 1LRecent →LWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPeterborough +3
Peterborough
9 pts100% wins
3W · 0D · 0L · 3 played
For8
Against2
Northampton
6 pts67% wins
2W · 0D · 1L · 3 played
For7
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Peterborough offensive edge
Peterborough's attack (53%) vs Northampton's defense (29%).
+24 - Northampton offensive edge
Northampton runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-24
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Peterboroughcompact defense · hot form
Northamptonleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Peterborough67%
0Draws
2Northampton33%