Peterborough 3-1 Reading Prediction

PeterboroughPeterborough
3 — 1FT
ReadingReading
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

PeterboroughPeterboroughvsReadingReading

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Peterborough 36%, draw 25.6%, Reading 38.3%. From 36 and 37 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.39

From 36 and 37 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–09%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–18.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

34Cold spellPeterborough
Weighted momentum

Reading arrives with stronger form weighting (+39 momentum).

73Hot streakReading
Peterborough · High-risk / fragileReading · compact defense · hot form

Peterborough

11W · 8D · 17L
Recent →LWLLDWLDLLLDDWWDLLDDWLLLWWLWLWLLWDLW
Momentum index

Reading

21W · 7D · 9L
Recent →WDWWWWWWWWLWLWWWWLWWLWLDDDWDWDWLLLLWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Peterborough

41 pts
31% wins

11W · 8D · 17L · 36 played

For
56
Against
60
Goal diff -4

Reading

70 pts
57% wins

21W · 7D · 9L · 37 played

For
52
Against
30
Goal diff +22

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Peterborough offensive edge

    Peterborough faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -40
  • Reading offensive edge

    Reading's attack (65%) vs Peterborough's defense (25%).

    +40

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Peterborough35
Reading65

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Peterborough25
Reading75

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Peterborough34
Reading73

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Peterborough-30
Reading130

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Peterborough34
Reading30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Peterborough24
Reading76

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Peterborough0
Reading100
PeterboroughHigh-risk / fragile
Readingcompact defense · hot form