Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.33
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Peterborough 41.1%, draw 25.1%, Wrexham 33.8%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.49Expected goals1.33
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
2W · 0D · 1L · 3 played
2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Peterborough faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17Wrexham's attack (50%) vs Peterborough's defense (33%).
+17Comparison indices from the match data partner.