Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals0.87
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Pevidem
Estimated win chances: Pevidem 46.8%, draw 28.4%, Brito 24.8%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingPevidem
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
53BuildingBrito
Pevidem · compact defenseBrito · low scoring
Pevidem
8W · 8D · 2LRecent →WWDLLWDDDWDWDDDWWW
Momentum index
Brito
6W · 6D · 6LRecent →WWLLWWDWDLDDDWDLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPevidem +8
Pevidem
32 pts44% wins
8W · 8D · 2L · 18 played
For21
Against15
Brito
24 pts33% wins
6W · 6D · 6L · 18 played
For16
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Pevidem offensive edge
Pevidem faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Brito offensive edge
Brito's attack (58%) vs Pevidem's defense (55%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Pevidemcompact defense
Britolow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Pevidem20%
1Draws
3Brito60%