Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.09
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Pevidem
Estimated win chances: Pevidem 44%, draw 26.7%, Joane 29.3%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellPevidem
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
35Cold spellJoane
Pevidem · cold formJoane · cold form
Pevidem
5W · 4D · 6LRecent →LLDLWDDLWDWWLLW
Momentum index
Joane
5W · 4D · 6LRecent →LLDWLLWLDDDWWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Pevidem
19 pts33% wins
5W · 4D · 6L · 15 played
For16
Against18
Joane
19 pts33% wins
5W · 4D · 6L · 15 played
For16
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Pevidem offensive edge
Pevidem's attack (56%) vs Joane's defense (50%).
+6 - Joane offensive edge
Joane runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Pevidemcold form
Joanecold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Pevidem100%
0Draws
0Joane0%