Goal expectancy
1.71Expected goals1.45
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Piteå
Estimated win chances: Piteå 43.9%, draw 23.4%, Järfälla 32.7%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
24Cold spellPiteå
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
25Cold spellJärfälla
Piteå · High-risk / fragileJärfälla · High-risk / fragile
Piteå
3W · 6D · 13LRecent →LLWLDDDLLDLLDDWLWLLLLL
Momentum index
Järfälla
5W · 3D · 14LRecent →WLLLLLLLWDLLLWWLLDWLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJärfälla +3
Piteå
15 pts14% wins
3W · 6D · 13L · 22 played
For24
Against43
Järfälla
18 pts23% wins
5W · 3D · 14L · 22 played
For29
Against47
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Piteå offensive edge
Piteå's attack (54%) vs Järfälla's defense (44%).
+10 - Järfälla offensive edge
Järfälla runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PiteåHigh-risk / fragile
JärfällaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Piteå100%
0Draws
0Järfälla0%