Goal expectancy
2.20Expected goals1.04
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Piteå
Estimated win chances: Piteå 63.7%, draw 19.5%, Kiruna Ff 16.8%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
73Hot streakPiteå
Weighted momentum
Piteå carries the sharper recent run (+45 momentum).
28Cold spellKiruna Ff
Piteå · hot formKiruna Ff · High-risk / fragile
Piteå
8W · 2D · 1LRecent →WDWLWDWWWWW
Momentum index
Kiruna Ff
1W · 5D · 5LRecent →DDWLLDLLLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPiteå +18
Piteå
26 pts73% wins
8W · 2D · 1L · 11 played
For30
Against11
Kiruna Ff
8 pts9% wins
1W · 5D · 5L · 11 played
For12
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Piteå offensive edge
Piteå's attack (65%) vs Kiruna Ff's defense (47%).
+18 - Kiruna Ff offensive edge
Kiruna Ff runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Piteåhot form
Kiruna FfHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Piteå0%
1Draws
0Kiruna Ff0%