Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.30
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Piteå W
Estimated win chances: Piteå W 41.7%, draw 25.2%, Aik 33.1%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedPiteå W
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
41MixedAik
Piteå W
6W · 4D · 7LRecent →WDWLLDDLLWLLWWWDL
Momentum index
Aik
7W · 4D · 6LRecent →DLLLWLWLWDWDWDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAik +3
Piteå W
22 pts35% wins
6W · 4D · 7L · 17 played
For21
Against25
Aik
25 pts41% wins
7W · 4D · 6L · 17 played
For23
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Piteå W offensive edge
Piteå W's attack (69%) vs Aik's defense (58%).
+11 - Aik offensive edge
Aik runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Piteå W60%
1Draws
3Aik30%