Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.95
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Häcken W
Estimated win chances: Piteå W 25.4%, draw 22%, Häcken W 52.6%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedPiteå W
Weighted momentum
Häcken W arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).
83Hot streakHäcken W
Häcken W · compact defense · hot form
Piteå W
4W · 2D · 5LRecent →LWWLLLDWDWL
Momentum index
Häcken W
8W · 0D · 3LRecent →WWWWWLWWWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHäcken W +10
Piteå W
14 pts36% wins
4W · 2D · 5L · 11 played
For14
Against17
Häcken W
24 pts73% wins
8W · 0D · 3L · 11 played
For38
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Piteå W offensive edge
Piteå W faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-63 - Häcken W offensive edge
Häcken W's attack (83%) vs Piteå W's defense (20%).
+63
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Häcken Wcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Piteå W43%
2Draws
2Häcken W29%