Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.15
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Plauen
Estimated win chances: Plauen 46%, draw 25.4%, Auerbach 28.6%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
74Hot streakPlauen
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
68Hot streakAuerbach
Plauen · compact defense · hot formAuerbach · hot form
Plauen
16W · 5D · 5LRecent →WWWWDLWWWWWDWWDWLLLDWWDWLW
Momentum index
Auerbach
13W · 8D · 5LRecent →DWWWWDWDWWWWLLDWDWDLWDDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPlauen +6
Plauen
53 pts62% wins
16W · 5D · 5L · 26 played
For44
Against22
Auerbach
47 pts50% wins
13W · 8D · 5L · 26 played
For45
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Plauen offensive edge
Plauen's attack (55%) vs Auerbach's defense (25%).
+30 - Auerbach offensive edge
Auerbach runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-30
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Plauencompact defense · hot form
Auerbachhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Plauen40%
1Draws
2Auerbach40%