Plopeni 3-5 Berca Prediction

PlopeniPlopeni
3 — 5FT
BercaBerca

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Plopeni 37.7%, draw 22.5%, Berca 39.8%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.70Expected goals1.75

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.1%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 2–27.5%
  • 0–15.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

30Cold spellPlopeni
Weighted momentum

Berca arrives with stronger form weighting (+10 momentum).

40MixedBerca
Plopeni · High-risk / fragileBerca · leaky defense

Plopeni

3W · 1D · 5L
Recent →LLDWLLWLW
Momentum index

Berca

4W · 2D · 3L
Recent →DLLLWWDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBerca +4

Plopeni

10 pts
33% wins

3W · 1D · 5L · 9 played

For
8
Against
16
Goal diff -8

Berca

14 pts
44% wins

4W · 2D · 3L · 9 played

For
24
Against
22
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Plopeni offensive edge

    Plopeni faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -15
  • Berca offensive edge

    Berca's attack (82%) vs Plopeni's defense (67%).

    +15

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Plopeni18
Berca82

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Plopeni67
Berca33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Plopeni30
Berca40

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Plopeni20
Berca80

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Plopeni37
Berca50

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Plopeni50
Berca50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Plopeni0
Berca0
PlopeniHigh-risk / fragile
Bercaleaky defense