Goal expectancy
1.59Expected goals1.60
From 9 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Plzen 3-0 Mlada Boleslav Prediction
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Plzen 38.1%, draw 23.5%, Mlada Boleslav 38.5%. From 9 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellPlzen
Weighted momentum
Mlada Boleslav arrives with stronger form weighting (+35 momentum).
70Hot streakMlada Boleslav
Plzen · High-risk / fragileMlada Boleslav · hot form
Plzen
2W · 4D · 3LRecent →LLDWDWDDL
Momentum index
Mlada Boleslav
5W · 2D · 1LRecent →WLWWDWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Plzen
10 pts22% wins
2W · 4D · 3L · 9 played
For17
Against17
Mlada Boleslav
17 pts63% wins
5W · 2D · 1L · 8 played
For17
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Plzen offensive edge
Plzen faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Mlada Boleslav offensive edge
Mlada Boleslav's attack (56%) vs Plzen's defense (45%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PlzenHigh-risk / fragile
Mlada Boleslavhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Plzen30%
3Draws
4Mlada Boleslav40%