Popayan 2-2 Envigado Prediction

PopayanPopayan
2 — 2FT
EnvigadoEnvigado
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

PopayanPopayanvsEnvigadoEnvigado

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Envigado

Estimated win chances: Popayan 33.3%, draw 28%, Envigado 38.7%. From 20 and 28 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.12Expected goals1.23

From 20 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–111.9%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 1–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

28Cold spellPopayan
Weighted momentum

Envigado arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).

53BuildingEnvigado
Popayan · low scoring · cold formEnvigado · compact defense

Popayan

3W · 8D · 9L
Recent →LLLDWLDDDDWDLLLDWDLL
Momentum index

Envigado

14W · 6D · 8L
Recent →LLLDWDWWWDDWLWWLWWLDWWWLLDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Popayan

17 pts
15% wins

3W · 8D · 9L · 20 played

For
19
Against
27
Goal diff -8

Envigado

48 pts
50% wins

14W · 6D · 8L · 28 played

For
37
Against
25
Goal diff +12

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Popayan offensive edge

    Popayan faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -1
  • Envigado offensive edge

    Envigado's attack (43%) vs Popayan's defense (42%).

    +1

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Popayan57
Envigado43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Popayan42
Envigado58

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Popayan28
Envigado53

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Popayan48
Envigado52

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Popayan30
Envigado30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Popayan50
Envigado50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Popayan0
Envigado100
Popayanlow scoring · cold form
Envigadocompact defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Popayan100%
0Draws
0Envigado0%

Recent meetings

Envigado
1 – 0FT
Popayan

Primera BApertura, round 8