Goal expectancy
1.66Expected goals1.70
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Ppj 37.8%, draw 22.8%, Kiffen 39.4%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellPpj
Weighted momentum
Kiffen arrives with stronger form weighting (+45 momentum).
83Hot streakKiffen
Ppj · High-risk / fragileKiffen · hot form
Ppj
5W · 9D · 5LRecent →DLWDLLWLLDDWDWDDDWD
Momentum index
Kiffen
13W · 3D · 3LRecent →WWWWDDWWWWWWWWDLWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKiffen +18
Ppj
24 pts26% wins
5W · 9D · 5L · 19 played
For34
Against32
Kiffen
42 pts68% wins
13W · 3D · 3L · 19 played
For43
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ppj offensive edge
Ppj faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-35 - Kiffen offensive edge
Kiffen's attack (55%) vs Ppj's defense (20%).
+35
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PpjHigh-risk / fragile
Kiffenhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Ppj40%
2Draws
4Kiffen40%