Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals0.98
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Preston
Estimated win chances: Preston 52.1%, draw 24.9%, Bolton 23%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellPreston
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
30Cold spellBolton
Preston · cold formBolton · High-risk / fragile
Preston
5W · 6D · 5LRecent →LLLLDDWDWWDDWLDW
Momentum index
Bolton
2W · 5D · 9LRecent →WDDDWLLLLLLLLDDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPreston +10
Preston
21 pts31% wins
5W · 6D · 5L · 16 played
For19
Against19
Bolton
11 pts13% wins
2W · 5D · 9L · 16 played
For13
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Preston offensive edge
Preston faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-25 - Bolton offensive edge
Bolton's attack (60%) vs Preston's defense (35%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Prestoncold form
BoltonHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Preston0%
1Draws
1Bolton50%