Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.41
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Preston 38.2%, draw 25%, Stevenage 36.8%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.44Expected goals1.41
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Stevenage arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
8W · 2D · 9L · 19 played
7W · 7D · 5L · 19 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Preston faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-39Stevenage's attack (56%) vs Preston's defense (17%).
+39Comparison indices from the match data partner.