Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1-0 Jerba Prediction

Progrès Sakiet EddaïerProgrès Sakiet Eddaïer
1 — 0FT
JerbaJerba

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Estimated win chances: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 44.3%, draw 31.1%, Jerba 24.6%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.13Expected goals0.76

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–017.2%
  • 0–015.2%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–111.6%
  • 2–09.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

47MixedProgrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Weighted momentum

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).

25Cold spellJerba
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer · Structured / conservativeJerba · Structured / conservative

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

3W · 3D · 3L
Recent →DWDWLDLLW
Momentum index

Jerba

1W · 3D · 5L
Recent →DLWLLDLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapProgrès Sakiet Eddaïer +6

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

12 pts
33% wins

3W · 3D · 3L · 9 played

For
7
Against
8
Goal diff -1

Jerba

6 pts
11% wins

1W · 3D · 5L · 9 played

For
2
Against
8
Goal diff -6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer offensive edge

    Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's attack (67%) vs Jerba's defense (43%).

    +24
  • Jerba offensive edge

    Jerba runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -24

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer67
Jerba33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer57
Jerba43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer47
Jerba25

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer98
Jerba2

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer30
Jerba30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer67
Jerba33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer0
Jerba0
Progrès Sakiet EddaïerStructured / conservative
JerbaStructured / conservative