Progreso 1-0 Central Espanol Prediction

ProgresoProgreso
1 — 0FT
Central EspanolCentral Espanol
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ProgresoProgresovsCentral EspanolCentral Espanol

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Progreso

Estimated win chances: Progreso 45.6%, draw 26.3%, Central Espanol 28.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.45Expected goals1.08

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–08.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

34Cold spellProgreso
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

29Cold spellCentral Espanol
Progreso · cold formCentral Espanol · low scoring · cold form

Progreso

3W · 2D · 4L
Recent →LWDLLLDWW
Momentum index

Central Espanol

1W · 3D · 5L
Recent →DWLLDDLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapProgreso +5

Progreso

11 pts
33% wins

3W · 2D · 4L · 9 played

For
11
Against
14
Goal diff -3

Central Espanol

6 pts
11% wins

1W · 3D · 5L · 9 played

For
5
Against
13
Goal diff -8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Progreso offensive edge

    Progreso faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -7
  • Central Espanol offensive edge

    Central Espanol's attack (57%) vs Progreso's defense (50%).

    +7

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Progreso43
Central Espanol57

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Progreso50
Central Espanol50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Progreso34
Central Espanol29

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Progreso36
Central Espanol64

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Progreso32
Central Espanol30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Progreso44
Central Espanol56

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Progreso20
Central Espanol80
Progresocold form
Central Espanollow scoring · cold form