Progreso 2-2 Fenix Prediction

Progreso

2 — 2FT18 Nov 2024, 19:30 UTC

Fenix

Overview Lineups Statistics Standings Events Players PredictionsForm Injuries H2H

Updated 8 Sep 2026, 22:11 UTC

ProgresovsFenix

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Progreso

Estimated win chances: Progreso 42.4%, draw 27.9%, Fenix 29.7%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium

VolatilityLow

Expected goalsLow

Tactical styleBalanced

Upset potentialMedium

Draw riskHigh

Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.29Expected goals1.03

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

1–113.2%
1–012.9%
0–110.3%
0–010%
2–18.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

22Cold spellProgreso

Weighted momentum

Fenix arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).

33Cold spellFenix

Progreso · low scoring · cold formFenix · High-risk / fragile

Progreso

1W · 4D · 7L

Recent →LDLWLDDLLLLD

Momentum index

Fenix

4W · 1D · 7L

Recent →LLLWLWWLDLWL

Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapFenix +6

Progreso

7 pts

8% wins

1W · 4D · 7L · 12 played

For

Against

Goal diff -10

Fenix

13 pts

33% wins

4W · 1D · 7L · 12 played

For

Against

Goal diff -11

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

Progreso offensive edge
Progreso's attack (50%) vs Fenix's defense (32%).
+18
Fenix offensive edge
Fenix runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-18

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Progreso50

Fenix50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Progreso68

Fenix32

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Progreso22

Fenix33

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Progreso86

Fenix14

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Progreso30

Fenix37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Progreso57

Fenix43

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Progreso29

Fenix71

Progresolow scoring · cold form

FenixHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

5Progreso56%

2Draws

2Fenix22%

Recent meetings

12 Aug 2018, 13:15 UTC

16 Nov 2019, 14:00 UTC

8 Aug 2020, 23:00 UTC

2 Feb 2021, 20:00 UTC

11 May 2019, 16:15 UTC

4 Nov 2021, 12:45 UTC

18 May 2024, 15:30 UTC

11 Jul 2021, 18:00 UTC

27 Jul 2024, 15:30 UTC