Progreso 0-1 Juventud Prediction

ProgresoProgreso
0 — 1FT
JuventudJuventud
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ProgresoProgresovsJuventudJuventud

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Progreso

Estimated win chances: Progreso 40.8%, draw 26.5%, Juventud 32.8%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.37Expected goals1.20

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–07.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellProgreso
Weighted momentum

Juventud arrives with stronger form weighting (+10 momentum).

47MixedJuventud
Progreso · cold formJuventud · low scoring

Progreso

4W · 3D · 5L
Recent →LDWLWDLLLDWW
Momentum index

Juventud

4W · 4D · 4L
Recent →LWWDLDWDDLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapJuventud +1

Progreso

15 pts
33% wins

4W · 3D · 5L · 12 played

For
15
Against
19
Goal diff -4

Juventud

16 pts
33% wins

4W · 4D · 4L · 12 played

For
12
Against
13
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Progreso offensive edge

    Progreso faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -4
  • Juventud offensive edge

    Juventud's attack (54%) vs Progreso's defense (50%).

    +4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Progreso46
Juventud54

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Progreso50
Juventud50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Progreso37
Juventud47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Progreso42
Juventud58

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Progreso32
Juventud30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Progreso50
Juventud50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Progreso100
Juventud0
Progresocold form
Juventudlow scoring