Progreso 2-0 Potencia Prediction

ProgresoProgreso
2 — 0FT
PotenciaPotencia
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ProgresoProgresovsPotenciaPotencia

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Progreso

Estimated win chances: Progreso 62.6%, draw 21.1%, Potencia 16.3%. From 11 and 10 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.97Expected goals0.89

From 11 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–011.9%
  • 2–011.7%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–110.4%
  • 3–07.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

82Hot streakProgreso
Weighted momentum

Progreso carries the sharper recent run (+66 momentum).

16Cold spellPotencia
Progreso · compact defense · hot formPotencia · High-risk / fragile

Progreso

8W · 3D · 0L
Recent →WWDWWWDDWWW
Momentum index

Potencia

1W · 3D · 6L
Recent →LDLLLDLWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Progreso

27 pts
73% wins

8W · 3D · 0L · 11 played

For
25
Against
8
Goal diff +17

Potencia

6 pts
10% wins

1W · 3D · 6L · 10 played

For
9
Against
17
Goal diff -8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Progreso offensive edge

    Progreso's attack (88%) vs Potencia's defense (43%).

    +45
  • Potencia offensive edge

    Potencia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -44

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Progreso88
Potencia13

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Progreso57
Potencia43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Progreso82
Potencia16

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Progreso140
Potencia-38

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Progreso30
Potencia34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Progreso93
Potencia7

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Progreso0
Potencia0
Progresocompact defense · hot form
PotenciaHigh-risk / fragile