Goal expectancy
1.80Expected goals1.16
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Qpr
Estimated win chances: Qpr 52.4%, draw 23.1%, Burnley 24.5%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedQpr
Weighted momentum
Qpr carries the sharper recent run (+21 momentum).
25Cold spellBurnley
Burnley · High-risk / fragile
Qpr
5W · 5D · 3LRecent →LWLWDDDDLWWDW
Momentum index
Burnley
1W · 6D · 6LRecent →DLLDWDLDLDLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapQpr +11
Qpr
20 pts38% wins
5W · 5D · 3L · 13 played
For21
Against16
Burnley
9 pts8% wins
1W · 6D · 6L · 13 played
For17
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Qpr offensive edge
Qpr's attack (58%) vs Burnley's defense (53%).
+5 - Burnley offensive edge
Burnley runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BurnleyHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Qpr40%
3Draws
3Burnley30%