QPR 0-3 Middlesbrough Prediction

QPRQPR
0 — 3FT
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Qpr 35.8%, draw 27.4%, Middlesbrough 36.8%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.21Expected goals1.23

From 27 and 27 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 1–28.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

41MixedQpr
Weighted momentum

Middlesbrough arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).

50MixedMiddlesbrough

Qpr

8W · 9D · 10L
Recent →WWLDDWLLDLLLWWDDLDDLDWLWLDW
Momentum index

Middlesbrough

12W · 5D · 10L
Recent →LWLWWLWLLWLWWWLDDLDWDWDLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMiddlesbrough +8

Qpr

33 pts
30% wins

8W · 9D · 10L · 27 played

For
31
Against
37
Goal diff -6

Middlesbrough

41 pts
44% wins

12W · 5D · 10L · 27 played

For
35
Against
27
Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Qpr offensive edge

    Qpr's attack (46%) vs Middlesbrough's defense (44%).

    +2
  • Middlesbrough offensive edge

    Middlesbrough runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Qpr46
Middlesbrough54

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Qpr56
Middlesbrough44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Qpr41
Middlesbrough50

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Qpr54
Middlesbrough46

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Qpr30
Middlesbrough30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Qpr47
Middlesbrough53

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Qpr40
Middlesbrough60