Goal expectancy
1.21Expected goals1.23
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Qpr 35.8%, draw 27.4%, Middlesbrough 36.8%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.21Expected goals1.23
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Middlesbrough arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
8W · 9D · 10L · 27 played
12W · 5D · 10L · 27 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Qpr's attack (46%) vs Middlesbrough's defense (44%).
+2Middlesbrough runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2Comparison indices from the match data partner.