Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals1.38
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: R. Union B 34.7%, draw 26%, Aretxabaleta 39.3%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.28Expected goals1.38
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Aretxabaleta arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
1W · 2D · 3L · 6 played
3W · 2D · 1L · 6 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
R. Union B faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17Aretxabaleta's attack (50%) vs R. Union B's defense (33%).
+17Comparison indices from the match data partner.