Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.53
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Imereti
Estimated win chances: Racha 33.6%, draw 24.8%, Imereti 41.6%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
28Cold spellRacha
Weighted momentum
Imereti arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
45MixedImereti
Racha · High-risk / fragile
Racha
5W · 3D · 19LRecent →LWLWLDLWLLLWLLWLLLLLLLDDLLL
Momentum index
Imereti
10W · 6D · 11LRecent →DWWWDWLLLDLDLWDLWLLLWDWLLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapImereti +18
Racha
18 pts19% wins
5W · 3D · 19L · 27 played
For31
Against64
Imereti
36 pts37% wins
10W · 6D · 11L · 27 played
For29
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Racha offensive edge
Racha faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-27 - Imereti offensive edge
Imereti's attack (43%) vs Racha's defense (16%).
+27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
RachaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Racha50%
0Draws
1Imereti50%