Goal expectancy
1.66Expected goals1.48
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Racha
Estimated win chances: Racha 42.1%, draw 23.6%, Meshakhte 34.3%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
22Cold spellRacha
Weighted momentum
Meshakhte arrives with stronger form weighting (+33 momentum).
55BuildingMeshakhte
Racha · High-risk / fragileMeshakhte · leaky defense
Racha
3W · 2D · 16LRecent →LWLLLWLLWLLLLLLLDDLLL
Momentum index
Meshakhte
8W · 4D · 9LRecent →WWDWWWLDLLWLWDLLLWDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMeshakhte +17
Racha
11 pts14% wins
3W · 2D · 16L · 21 played
For22
Against47
Meshakhte
28 pts38% wins
8W · 4D · 9L · 21 played
For25
Against45
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Racha offensive edge
Racha faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40 - Meshakhte offensive edge
Meshakhte's attack (54%) vs Racha's defense (14%).
+40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
RachaHigh-risk / fragile
Meshakhteleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Racha100%
0Draws
0Meshakhte0%