Racing Montevideo 1-1 Defensor Sporting Prediction

Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo
1 — 1FT
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Racing MontevideoRacing MontevideovsDefensor SportingDefensor Sporting

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Racing Montevideo

Estimated win chances: Racing Montevideo 47.5%, draw 27.6%, Defensor Sporting 24.9%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.37Expected goals0.91

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014.2%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 0–19.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

86Hot streakRacing Montevideo
Weighted momentum

Racing Montevideo carries the sharper recent run (+39 momentum).

47MixedDefensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo · compact defense · hot formDefensor Sporting · Structured / conservative

Racing Montevideo

8W · 2D · 1L
Recent →WWWDWWWWWDL
Momentum index

Defensor Sporting

4W · 4D · 3L
Recent →WLDDWLDLWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRacing Montevideo +10

Racing Montevideo

26 pts
73% wins

8W · 2D · 1L · 11 played

For
20
Against
10
Goal diff +10

Defensor Sporting

16 pts
36% wins

4W · 4D · 3L · 11 played

For
9
Against
7
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Racing Montevideo offensive edge

    Racing Montevideo's attack (62%) vs Defensor Sporting's defense (57%).

    +5
  • Defensor Sporting offensive edge

    Defensor Sporting runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Racing Montevideo62
Defensor Sporting38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Racing Montevideo43
Defensor Sporting57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Racing Montevideo86
Defensor Sporting47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Racing Montevideo60
Defensor Sporting40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Racing Montevideo30
Defensor Sporting30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Racing Montevideo62
Defensor Sporting38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Racing Montevideo20
Defensor Sporting80
Racing Montevideocompact defense · hot form
Defensor SportingStructured / conservative

H2H in this snapshot

From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

3Racing Montevideo33%
0Draws
6Defensor Sporting67%

Recent meetings

Defensor Sporting
1 – 2FT
Racing Montevideo

Primera División - ClausuraClausura, round 3
Racing Montevideo
0 – 1FT
Defensor Sporting

Primera División - AperturaIntermediate round 3
Defensor Sporting
1 – 0FT
Racing Montevideo

Copa UruguayRound of 16
Racing Montevideo
0 – 1FT
Defensor Sporting

Copa UruguayRound of 32
Racing Montevideo
0 – 1FT
Defensor Sporting

Primera División - ClausuraClausura, round 3
Racing Montevideo
0 – 1FT
Defensor Sporting

Primera División - AperturaApertura, round 9
Racing Montevideo
1 – 2FT
Defensor Sporting

Primera División - AperturaApertura, round 3
Defensor Sporting
2 – 0FT
Racing Montevideo

Primera División - AperturaApertura, round 3
Defensor Sporting
3 – 0FT
Racing Montevideo

Primera División - ClausuraClausura, round 9