Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.34
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
RAD 1-3 Prva Iskra Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Rad 36%, draw 26.2%, Prva Iskra 37.9%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellRad
Weighted momentum
Prva Iskra arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
45MixedPrva Iskra
Rad · High-risk / fragile
Rad
4W · 4D · 16LRecent →LWLLLLLLLWLLLDDDWDLLLLWL
Momentum index
Prva Iskra
9W · 6D · 9LRecent →DDLWWDLLLDWWWLDWWLWLLLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPrva Iskra +17
Rad
16 pts17% wins
4W · 4D · 16L · 24 played
For19
Against41
Prva Iskra
33 pts38% wins
9W · 6D · 9L · 24 played
For31
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rad offensive edge
Rad faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-26 - Prva Iskra offensive edge
Prva Iskra's attack (67%) vs Rad's defense (41%).
+26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
RadHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Rad0%
1Draws
0Prva Iskra0%