Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals0.83
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Rahimo
Estimated win chances: Rahimo 49.3%, draw 27.9%, Douanes 22.9%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
69Hot streakRahimo
Weighted momentum
Rahimo carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).
55BuildingDouanes
Rahimo · compact defense · hot formDouanes · Structured / conservative
Rahimo
8W · 6D · 0LRecent →WDDWDWWWDDWDWW
Momentum index
Douanes
5W · 7D · 2LRecent →WLDWDWWDDDLDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRahimo +8
Rahimo
30 pts57% wins
8W · 6D · 0L · 14 played
For21
Against7
Douanes
22 pts36% wins
5W · 7D · 2L · 14 played
For14
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rahimo offensive edge
Rahimo's attack (56%) vs Douanes's defense (43%).
+13 - Douanes offensive edge
Douanes runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rahimocompact defense · hot form
DouanesStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Rahimo50%
4Draws
0Douanes0%