Goal expectancy
0.87Expected goals0.97
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Rahimo 31.1%, draw 32.4%, Sonabel 36.5%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedRahimo
Weighted momentum
Sonabel arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
55BuildingSonabel
Rahimo · low scoringSonabel · Structured / conservative
Rahimo
6W · 5D · 9LRecent →LDWDDWLWLDWLLLWLLDWL
Momentum index
Sonabel
9W · 8D · 3LRecent →DWWLWDDDDDLWWWLDWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSonabel +12
Rahimo
23 pts30% wins
6W · 5D · 9L · 20 played
For15
Against22
Sonabel
35 pts45% wins
9W · 8D · 3L · 20 played
For18
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rahimo offensive edge
Rahimo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - Sonabel offensive edge
Sonabel's attack (63%) vs Rahimo's defense (43%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rahimolow scoring
SonabelStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Rahimo40%
1Draws
2Sonabel40%