Goal expectancy
1.14Expected goals1.10
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Rahimo 36.6%, draw 28.8%, Sonabel 34.6%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingRahimo
Weighted momentum
Sonabel arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
70Hot streakSonabel
Sonabel · compact defense · hot form
Rahimo
5W · 4D · 2LRecent →DWLWLWDDWDW
Momentum index
Sonabel
6W · 5D · 0LRecent →WWDDWDDWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSonabel +4
Rahimo
19 pts45% wins
5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played
For16
Against11
Sonabel
23 pts55% wins
6W · 5D · 0L · 11 played
For14
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rahimo offensive edge
Rahimo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40 - Sonabel offensive edge
Sonabel's attack (40%) vs Rahimo's defense (0%).
+40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sonabelcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Rahimo33%
1Draws
3Sonabel50%