Raith Rovers 2-2 Dumbarton Prediction

Raith RoversRaith Rovers
2 — 2FT
DumbartonDumbarton
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Raith RoversRaith RoversvsDumbartonDumbarton

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Raith Rovers

Estimated win chances: Raith Rovers 64.6%, draw 20.4%, Dumbarton 15%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.03Expected goals0.86

From 7 and 7 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–012.1%
  • 1–012%
  • 2–110.4%
  • 1–110.3%
  • 3–08.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

44MixedRaith Rovers
Weighted momentum

Raith Rovers carries the sharper recent run (+38 momentum).

6Cold spellDumbarton
Raith Rovers · compact defenseDumbarton · High-risk / fragile

Raith Rovers

3W · 2D · 2L
Recent →DLWLDWW
Momentum index

Dumbarton

0W · 1D · 6L
Recent →LDLLLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRaith Rovers +10

Raith Rovers

11 pts
43% wins

3W · 2D · 2L · 7 played

For
8
Against
5
Goal diff +3

Dumbarton

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 6L · 7 played

For
4
Against
23
Goal diff -19

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Raith Rovers offensive edge

    Raith Rovers's attack (57%) vs Dumbarton's defense (24%).

    +33
  • Dumbarton offensive edge

    Dumbarton runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -33

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Raith Rovers57
Dumbarton43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Raith Rovers76
Dumbarton24

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Raith Rovers44
Dumbarton6

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Raith Rovers116
Dumbarton-16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Raith Rovers30
Dumbarton70

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Raith Rovers83
Dumbarton17

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Raith Rovers0
Dumbarton0
Raith Roverscompact defense
DumbartonHigh-risk / fragile