Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.29
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Rampla Juniors 2-2 Progreso Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Rampla Juniors 35.9%, draw 26.7%, Progreso 37.4%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
84Hot streakRampla Juniors
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
78Hot streakProgreso
Rampla Juniors · hot formProgreso · compact defense · hot form
Rampla Juniors
3W · 0D · 1LRecent →WWWL
Momentum index
Progreso
3W · 1D · 0LRecent →DWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapProgreso +1
Rampla Juniors
9 pts75% wins
3W · 0D · 1L · 4 played
For7
Against4
Progreso
10 pts75% wins
3W · 1D · 0L · 4 played
For8
Against0
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Rampla Juniors offensive edge
Rampla Juniors faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-53 - Progreso offensive edge
Progreso's attack (53%) vs Rampla Juniors's defense (0%).
+53
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rampla Juniorshot form
Progresocompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Rampla Juniors0%
2Draws
3Progreso60%