Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Getafe Prediction

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
3 — 1FT
GetafeGetafe
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Rayo VallecanoRayo VallecanovsGetafeGetafe

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Rayo Vallecano

Estimated win chances: Rayo Vallecano 41.2%, draw 24.7%, Getafe 34.1%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.37

From 17 and 17 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 0–17.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

51MixedRayo Vallecano
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

48MixedGetafe
Rayo Vallecano · leaky defense

Rayo Vallecano

8W · 1D · 8L
Recent →WWLLWLWWLLWLLLDWW
Momentum index

Getafe

7W · 3D · 7L
Recent →LDDWWWLLWLWWLLDWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRayo Vallecano +1

Rayo Vallecano

25 pts
47% wins

8W · 1D · 8L · 17 played

For
22
Against
32
Goal diff -10

Getafe

24 pts
41% wins

7W · 3D · 7L · 17 played

For
21
Against
25
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Rayo Vallecano offensive edge

    Rayo Vallecano's attack (46%) vs Getafe's defense (33%).

    +13
  • Getafe offensive edge

    Getafe runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Rayo Vallecano46
Getafe54

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Rayo Vallecano67
Getafe33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Rayo Vallecano51
Getafe48

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Rayo Vallecano76
Getafe24

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Rayo Vallecano39
Getafe30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Rayo Vallecano53
Getafe47

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Rayo Vallecano100
Getafe0
Rayo Vallecanoleaky defense