Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Sevilla Prediction

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
2 — 1FT
SevillaSevilla
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Rayo VallecanoRayo VallecanovsSevillaSevilla

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Rayo Vallecano 37.7%, draw 26.9%, Sevilla 35.3%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.28Expected goals1.23

From 16 and 16 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–08.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

29Cold spellRayo Vallecano
Weighted momentum

Sevilla arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).

43MixedSevilla
Rayo Vallecano · cold form

Rayo Vallecano

4W · 4D · 8L
Recent →LLLLDWLWWLDLLWDD
Momentum index

Sevilla

6W · 6D · 4L
Recent →LLWWLDLDDWDWDWDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSevilla +8

Rayo Vallecano

16 pts
25% wins

4W · 4D · 8L · 16 played

For
17
Against
25
Goal diff -8

Sevilla

24 pts
38% wins

6W · 6D · 4L · 16 played

For
18
Against
17
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Rayo Vallecano offensive edge

    Rayo Vallecano faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -27
  • Sevilla offensive edge

    Sevilla's attack (70%) vs Rayo Vallecano's defense (43%).

    +27

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Rayo Vallecano30
Sevilla70

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Rayo Vallecano43
Sevilla57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Rayo Vallecano29
Sevilla43

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Rayo Vallecano-4
Sevilla104

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Rayo Vallecano32
Sevilla30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Rayo Vallecano14
Sevilla86

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Rayo Vallecano0
Sevilla0
Rayo Vallecanocold form