Goal expectancy
1.41Expected goals1.54
From 10 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Reading 34.9%, draw 24.5%, Everton 40.6%. From 10 and 11 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.41Expected goals1.54
From 10 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Everton arrives with stronger form weighting (+35 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
0W · 6D · 4L · 10 played
5W · 5D · 1L · 11 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Reading faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7Everton's attack (60%) vs Reading's defense (53%).
+7Comparison indices from the match data partner.