Goal expectancy
1.18Expected goals0.94
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Reddis
Estimated win chances: Reddis 41.4%, draw 29.5%, Peralada 29.1%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedReddis
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
46MixedPeralada
Reddis · compact defensePeralada · Structured / conservative
Reddis
9W · 3D · 8LRecent →WLLWLLLWLWDDWLWWDWLW
Momentum index
Peralada
8W · 4D · 8LRecent →WLLLLWWDLWWDWLWDDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapReddis +2
Reddis
30 pts45% wins
9W · 3D · 8L · 20 played
For21
Against17
Peralada
28 pts40% wins
8W · 4D · 8L · 20 played
For20
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Reddis offensive edge
Reddis's attack (83%) vs Peralada's defense (40%).
+43 - Peralada offensive edge
Peralada runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-43
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Reddiscompact defense
PeraladaStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Reddis0%
1Draws
0Peralada0%