Goal expectancy
1.52Expected goals1.29
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Rennes 42.7%, draw 25%, Lorient 32.3%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.52Expected goals1.29
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Lorient arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
4W · 3D · 2L · 9 played
4W · 4D · 1L · 9 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Rennes faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14Lorient's attack (47%) vs Rennes's defense (33%).
+14Comparison indices from the match data partner.