Rennes 3-1 Nice Prediction

RennesRennes
3 — 1FT
NiceNice

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Rennes

Estimated win chances: Rennes 46.1%, draw 27.1%, Nice 26.8%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.39Expected goals0.99

From 31 and 31 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–09.4%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–09.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

48MixedRennes
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

42MixedNice
Nice · low scoring

Rennes

13W · 9D · 9L
Recent →WDLLDWDLWDLWWLDLWWDLWWLDWDWWLDW
Momentum index

Nice

8W · 10D · 13L
Recent →WWDLDWWLDDLLDWLWLLLDLWDDLWLDDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRennes +14

Rennes

48 pts
42% wins

13W · 9D · 9L · 31 played

For
41
Against
35
Goal diff +6

Nice

34 pts
26% wins

8W · 10D · 13L · 31 played

For
32
Against
36
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Rennes offensive edge

    Rennes faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -3
  • Nice offensive edge

    Nice's attack (58%) vs Rennes's defense (55%).

    +3

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Rennes42
Nice58

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Rennes55
Nice45

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Rennes48
Nice42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Rennes44
Nice56

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Rennes30
Nice30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Rennes38
Nice62

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Rennes64
Nice36
Nicelow scoring