Goal expectancy
2.13Expected goals1.48
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Riga
Estimated win chances: Riga 52.5%, draw 20.8%, Auda 26.6%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
83Hot streakRiga
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
78Hot streakAuda
Riga · hot formAuda · hot form
Riga
8W · 2D · 1LRecent →WWDWWWDWWWL
Momentum index
Auda
8W · 1D · 2LRecent →WWWWDLWWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRiga +1
Riga
26 pts73% wins
8W · 2D · 1L · 11 played
For36
Against13
Auda
25 pts73% wins
8W · 1D · 2L · 11 played
For25
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Riga offensive edge
Riga's attack (48%) vs Auda's defense (44%).
+4 - Auda offensive edge
Auda runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rigahot form
Audahot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Riga30%
2Draws
5Auda50%