Goal expectancy
2.13Expected goals1.04
From 27 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Riga 1-1 BFC Daugavpils Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Riga
Estimated win chances: Riga 62.3%, draw 20.1%, Bfc Daugavpils 17.6%. From 27 and 28 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
80Hot streakRiga
Weighted momentum
Riga carries the sharper recent run (+34 momentum).
46MixedBfc Daugavpils
Riga · hot form
Riga
20W · 5D · 2LRecent →LDWWWWWDWWWWWWDWWWDWWWDWWWL
Momentum index
Bfc Daugavpils
10W · 7D · 11LRecent →LDWWLWWLDWDDDLWLLLDLDWWWWLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Riga
65 pts74% wins
20W · 5D · 2L · 27 played
For81
Against27
Bfc Daugavpils
37 pts36% wins
10W · 7D · 11L · 28 played
For33
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Riga offensive edge
Riga's attack (80%) vs Bfc Daugavpils's defense (73%).
+7 - Bfc Daugavpils offensive edge
Bfc Daugavpils runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rigahot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Riga20%
2Draws
6Bfc Daugavpils60%